ETF Market Summary: Week Ending June 8th 2007
Dollar-Weighted Category Performance
On the week's dollar-weighted performance, only 2 of 26 categories ended the week black - short funds and China funds, returning a respective 2.87% and 1%. Another 3 categories ended the week only marginally red, falling at most 0.36% percent - currency funds, Japan funds, and broad Asia funds.
The remaining 21 categories were down at least 1% (call/write) and, at worst, nearly 7% (infrastructure). Of these categories, the average return was nearly 3% down.
With the week at last done, there still does not seem to be a single non-psychological motivator for the broad market losses. Both gold and oil ended the week down, but stock and bond market returns do not seem to match what we would expect in such a week.
One possibility I offer as a suggestion is that foreign investors, having enjoyed the past two months, view the current dollar strength as a local maximum. The US Dollar Index, having dropped throughout the market rally, is believed by most to continue to decline in the medium-term. Given this, then regardless of their investment type, the current dollar high would provide them the best return after conversion to their home currency, thus explaining an otherwise unexplainable lack of historical correlation between asset classes.
| Sector | Day | Week | Month | YTD | Day $ | Week Correlation to SPY |
| Infrastructure | 2.15% | -6.79% | -4.30% | 5.67% | 5 | 94.81% |
| Utilities | 0.76% | -5.52% | -6.26% | 0.50% | 877 | 89.42% |
| Latin America | 2.61% | -4.28% | 5.79% | 7.28% | 111 | 98.16% |
| Transports | 1.46% | -3.82% | -0.33% | 10.30% | 161 | 96.55% |
| Europe | 1.26% | -3.57% | 1.05% | 0.34% | 273 | 96.52% |
| Commodities & Resources | -1.57% | -3.48% | -1.92% | 0.31% | 700 | 9.22% |
| Real Estate | 1.48% | -3.31% | -3.01% | -0.04% | 527 | 77.09% |
| Emerging Markets | 1.77% | -3.07% | 2.71% | 0.74% | 1843 | 83.71% |
| Dividend | 0.98% | -2.88% | -1.04% | 0.44% | 58 | 83.73% |
| Biotech | 0.77% | -2.80% | -0.60% | 0.22% | 269 | 92.96% |
| Russia | 1.42% | -2.76% | -2.09% | -8.86% | 9 | 97.60% |
| Healthcare | 0.40% | -2.49% | -0.72% | 0.80% | 87 | 90.49% |
| Mid Cap | 1.32% | -2.38% | 1.22% | 0.44% | 1148 | 95.66% |
| MSCI | 1.09% | -2.31% | 1.05% | 8.39% | 412 | 97.78% |
| Convertible | 0.63% | -2.30% | -2.27% | 0.04% | 22 | 58.30% |
| Small Cap | 1.30% | -2.19% | 1.54% | 0.18% | 7887 | 81.62% |
| Consumer Goods & Services | 1.09% | -2.05% | 0.89% | 0.25% | 110 | 82.23% |
| Large Cap | 1.23% | -1.91% | 1.45% | 0.31% | 2974 | 96.27% |
| Retail | 1.11% | -1.46% | 2.37% | 2.09% | 370 | 95.01% |
| Energy | 0.42% | -1.46% | 6.46% | 1.20% | 1483 | 70.09% |
| Call/Write | 0.46% | -0.96% | 1.62% | 2.08% | 4 | 74.01% |
| Asia | 1.24% | -0.36% | 1.27% | 1.27% | 36 | 80.25% |
| Japan | 0.48% | -0.15% | 1.53% | 0.38% | 240 | 76.60% |
| Currency | -0.22% | -0.10% | 0.76% | 0.48% | 45 | 30.22% |
| China | 2.52% | 0.99% | 6.15% | -0.13% | 420 | 86.71% |
| Short | -2.50% | 2.87% | -2.10% | -1.47% | 2086 | -95.33% |
- Michael J Bommarito II's blog
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