Gauging Investor Fear: August 10th, 2007

    Though the VIX touched below 20 during Wednesday morning, afternoon jitters and an investor-focused statement from President Bush led volatility higher into close.  Between close and Thursday's open, data and sentiment swung in favor of the bears, with this trend continuing well into today's trading.

    Treasuries continue to strengthen, as even gold's 2% burst rally today has not matched the persistent strength seen in the 5- and 10-year bills.  The S&P likewise remains weak relative to fixed income today.

    Again though, the Russell continues to make up losses against the S&P.  This is somewhat perplexing, as a tightening credit market should affect smaller firms with less collateral and cash much more than large firms that can sustain growth out of pocket.  Some of the correction is likely due to the S&P's heavy financial weighting, as well as the already-overextended difference between the two over the last month.