Real Estate

ETF Market Summary: Tuesday, June 05th 2007

Dollar-Weighted Category Return

    21 of 26 categories ended Tuesday down, with the average category trading down -0.40% with an average dollar flow out of 3 million.  The worst outflow was in small caps with 33 million red, followed by real estate, utilities, and large caps.  The only two categories that saw non-negligible dollar inflows were short funds and China, despite the volatilitly that Chinese markets have experienced this week. 

    It's interesting to note which categories have had the lowest correlations to the SPY in the last week.  Those with negative correlations are convertible funds, China funds, and currency funds.  Low but positive categories include Japan funds, commodities and resources funds, call-write funds, and broad Asia funds.  Asian markets have remained strong despite high volatility and dramatic swings, ignoring changes in the bond and currency markets that could point to troubling costs and inflation in the coming cycle.

Sector Day Week Month YTD Day $ Week Correlation to SPY
Real Estate -1.68% 1.24% -1.24% 0.06% 801 78.17%
Utilities -1.32% -0.70% -3.75% 0.79% 736 55.83%
Transports -0.87% 0.59% 1.49% 12.82% 18 43.12%
Infrastructure -0.87% 0.99% -0.20% 8.21% 7 63.79%
Dividend -0.83% -0.01% -0.32% 0.66% 43 71.16%
Retail -0.81% 2.59% 3.09% 2.54% 475 79.77%
Latin America -0.62% 4.58% 9.13% 8.72% 67 89.04%
Consumer Goods & Services -0.60% 1.15% 1.58% 0.36% 141 67.80%
Europe -0.57% 1.14% 0.98% 0.48% 288 35.41%
MSCI -0.51% 1.33% 0.87% 10.68% 327 68.34%
Russia -0.47% 3.58% -2.67% -7.63% 13 32.47%
Large Cap -0.44% 0.64% 2.40% 0.37% 2093 86.19%
Small Cap -0.42% 1.43% 2.25% 0.24% 7875 68.13%
Call/Write -0.35% 1.64% 2.73% 2.30% 4 22.48%
Mid Cap -0.35% 2.11% 3.26% 0.55% 987 57.84%
Energy -0.35% 3.70% 7.53% 1.39% 1122 42.64%
Emerging Markets -0.35% 2.99% 2.88% 0.94% 1212 39.79%
Asia -0.32% 2.40% 1.28% 1.37% 30 30.74%
Healthcare -0.30% -0.09% -0.53% 1.05% 84 31.67%
Commodities & Resources -0.28% 2.64% -1.76% 0.64% 370 22.21%
Japan -0.16% 1.93% 1.36% 0.43% 209 21.28%
Biotech 0.02% 0.98% -2.00% 0.72% 87 26.64%
Currency 0.19% 0.98% 0.83% 0.55% 47 -6.66%
Convertible 0.41% 0.55% 0.16% 0.34% 14 -10.27%
Short 0.52% -2.69% -3.13% -1.78% 1235 NaN
China 0.97% 4.16% 3.80% -0.17% 282 -7.84%

ETF Market Summary: Monday, June 4th, 2007

Dollar-Weighted ETF/CEF Category Return

    12 of 26 categories were negative to start the week, as gains in crude and gold led to to a somewhat bearish underlying attitude.  Most affected by this trend were infrastructure and transports, both having seen a 3%+ week return prior.  Note as well that despite the 5% increase in VIX from Friday's close, small cap ETFs still closed above large caps.

    To the upside on Monday was primarily energy, driven by crude prices, as well as Asia, real estate, and retail.  Though Asia funds may attempt to continue their uptrends into today after high volatility in Asian markets, retail and real estate will likely feel the heat from this morning's retailers' negative assesments and the possible bond swings resulting form Bernanke's comments today.

Sector Day Week Month YTD Day $ Week Correlation to SPY
Infrastructure -1.98% 2.01% 0.77% 8.64% 7 50.74%
Transports -0.76% 2.40% 2.30% 13.81% 18 7.92%
Short -0.66% -4.28% -3.39% -1.83% 702 -52.70%
Emerging Markets -0.44% 3.01% 3.89% 0.97% 1195 12.76%
Utilities -0.35% 0.98% -1.37% 0.89% 520 26.47%
Biotech -0.31% 1.45% -2.36% 0.71% 136 18.66%
Latin America -0.26% 5.35% 9.39% 8.98% 65 75.40%
China -0.20% 1.96% 3.69% -0.32% 312 -20.07%
Healthcare -0.17% 0.20% -0.01% 1.08% 108 -20.91%
Convertible -0.10% 0.71% -0.19% 0.30% 15 8.51%
Dividend -0.04% 1.09% 0.91% 0.74% 39 59.62%
Large Cap -0.01% 1.33% 3.07% 0.39% 1205 70.37%
Europe 0.09% 1.67% 1.78% 0.50% 358 -9.98%
Russia 0.12% 1.84% -2.30% -7.33% 11 -4.27%
Small Cap 0.12% 2.79% 2.40% 0.26% 5533 40.55%
Commodities & Resources 0.17% 3.15% -1.39% 0.66% 323 -15.61%
Consumer Goods & Services 0.22% 1.87% 2.26% 0.41% 80 36.09%
MSCI 0.27% 1.98% 1.54% 11.25% 398 14.34%
Japan 0.35% 3.16% 2.01% 0.45% 181 -31.74%
Currency 0.37% 0.94% 0.88% 0.53% 30 -29.32%
Mid Cap 0.40% 3.07% 3.49% 0.57% 624 29.55%
Call/Write 0.44% 2.96% 3.40% 2.35% 4 12.47%
Real Estate 0.64% 6.05% 0.50% 0.13% 383 53.25%
Retail 0.65% 3.75% 4.15% 2.83% 297 51.83%
Asia 0.88% 3.09% 1.88% 1.40% 55 -9.43%
Energy 1.56% 3.39% 8.19% 1.41% 1281

7.81%

ETF Market Summary: Week Ending June 1st 2007

Dollar-Weighted ETF/CEF Category Return

    A combination of surprisingly tame inflation data, strong payroll numbers, and falling energy prices resulted in a week of broad market gains.  Over the week, the largest gainers were real estate, Latin America, and emerging market funds by far.  Small caps, emerging markets, commodities, and retail funds ended the week with strong inflows as well.  A relatively quiet week and falling energy prices seems to have tempted large numbers of investors back into these higher-return assets, especially given their possibly oversold prices after last week's volatility.

    To the downside on the week were only short funds; no other category ended red or even unchanged.  The worst performing categories, though still positive, were healthcare, utilities, currency, convertible, dividend, and large caps.  With the VIX indicating overall market volatility fell 7% and the RVX indicating that small cap volatility fell 2%, it's not surprising that the more conservative asset classes saw a slow weak.  It is interesting to note, however, that healthcare was actually more negatively correlated on the week than short funds.  This is perhaps the result of the difference in performance between the S&P and the other indexes on which there are short ETFs, but such a strongly negative correlation is a trend that warrants further attention.

Sector Day Week Month YTD Day $ Week Correlation to SPY
Short 0.12% -4.61% -2.98% -1.76% 999 -38.56%
Healthcare 0.12% 0.41% 0.74% 1.10% 142 -46.55%
Currency -0.01% 0.79% 0.63% 0.49% 59 -33.38%
Convertible 0.12% 0.93% -0.26% 0.30% 14 10.21%
Utilities -0.56% 1.32% -1.16% 0.91% 603 15.50%
Dividend 0.50% 1.58% 1.26% 0.74% 43 56.37%
Large Cap 0.27% 1.74% 3.37% 0.39% 1621 64.84%
Biotech 0.37% 1.93% -1.82% 0.78% 324 -38.90%
Consumer Goods & Services 0.56% 2.06% 2.15% 0.39% 131 33.00%
MSCI 0.65% 2.36% 2.22% 10.95% 278 0.33%
Japan 0.55% 2.42% 2.01% 0.40% 180 -39.30%
Europe 0.49% 2.59% 2.50% 0.49% 201 -16.02%
Asia 0.91% 2.93% 1.52% 1.31% 49 -11.33%
Retail 1.33% 3.30% 3.67% 2.58% 612 28.69%
Small Cap 0.52% 3.36% 2.93% 0.25% 6495 24.69%
Commodities & Resources 1.53% 3.37% -0.74% 0.65% 606 -18.40%
Energy 0.91% 3.38% 6.46% 1.30% 880 28.79%
Mid Cap 0.42% 3.39% 3.71% 0.55% 719 15.60%
Call/Write 0.70% 3.81% 3.44% 2.26% 3 -0.77%
Transports 0.58% 3.86% 3.73% 14.68% 21 -95.20%
Infrastructure 0.60% 3.94% 2.96% 9.85% 3 14.84%
China 1.82% 4.11% 4.61% -0.29% 269 -27.83%
Russia 1.80% 4.73% -2.30% -7.33% 21 -4.39%
Emerging Markets 2.47% 5.06% 4.34% 1.00% 1097 7.80%
Real Estate 0.04% 6.09% -0.64% 0.10% 393 53.21%
Latin America 3.14% 8.31% 10.89% 9.09% 123 57.28%

ETF Market Summary: Wednesday, May 30th 2007

Dollar-Weighted ETF/CEF Category Return

Sector Day Week Month YTD Day $ Week Correlation to SPY
Short -1.81% -0.65% -4.57% -1.68% 1616 -80.40%
Commodities & Resources -0.25% -0.52% -2.28% 0.37% 265 55.51%
Healthcare 0.01% -0.02% 1.16% 1.06% 131 60.60%
Currency 0.06% 0.24% -0.16% 0.43% 19 36.39%
Convertible 0.15% 0.50% 0.06% 0.29% 16 27.77%
Japan 0.20% 0.50% 1.19% 0.21% 380 68.14%
China 0.33% -2.49% 4.40% -0.77% 609 69.29%
Europe 0.34% 0.46% 1.36% 0.43% 210 69.80%
Biotech 0.36% 0.01% -2.56% 0.56% 250 81.49%
Dividend 0.40% -0.47% 1.68% 0.69% 27 84.16%
Call/Write 0.41% 1.66% 2.16% 1.91% 3 72.58%
MSCI 0.42% 0.74% 1.96% 9.69% 423 84.97%
Transports 0.44% 0.70% 4.00% 12.65% 34 90.03%
Asia 0.47% -0.24% 1.75% 1.15% 26 81.79%
Small Cap 0.66% 0.63% 3.37% 0.22% 5884 82.60%
Retail 0.66% 1.60% 1.65% 1.85% 231 42.32%
Consumer Goods & Services 0.76% 0.53% 2.13% 0.34% 104 NaN
Large Cap 0.79% 0.80% 3.99% 0.38% 2243 96.07%
Russia 0.96% -2.96% -4.55% -7.97% 12 69.03%
Mid Cap 1.01% 0.59% 4.02% 0.50% 839 91.83%
Emerging Markets 1.01% -0.39% 4.39% 0.77% 1537 61.35%
Utilities 1.24% -2.18% -0.48% 0.93% 368 79.30%
Infrastructure 2.06% -0.85% 1.43% 8.86% 4 72.80%
Energy 2.08% 1.30% 7.79% 1.27% 1352 76.10%
Latin America 2.21% 1.05% 11.35% 7.76% 81 92.12%
Real Estate 2.56% 3.90% 0.81% 0.11% 814

86.69%

ETF Market Summary: Tuesday, May 29th 2007

Dollar-Weighted ETF/CEF Category Return

Sector Day Week Month YTD Day $ Week Correlation to SPY
Russia -2.07% -4.42% -4.58% -8.36% 14 63.56%
China -1.17% -3.47% 5.18% -0.82% 425 85.79%
Short -1.16% 0.89% -3.38% -1.48% 1172 -72.67%
Energy -0.65% -1.67% 6.05% 1.13% 1421 72.37%
Emerging Markets -0.33% -1.36% 3.77% 0.68% 902 76.38%
Europe -0.16% 0.25% 1.27% 0.42% 191 77.34%
Currency -0.01% 0.00% -0.71% 0.43% 25 46.50%
Healthcare 0.05% -0.04% 1.35% 1.06% 67 69.27%
Consumer Goods & Services 0.10% -0.19% 1.42% 0.29% 120 NaN
MSCI 0.12% 0.40% 1.43% 9.22% 428 89.51%
Latin America 0.13% -1.88% 9.07% 6.87% 63 93.03%
Large Cap 0.25% -0.02% 3.62% 0.34% 1896 93.67%
Dividend 0.26% -0.90% 1.77% 0.65% 36 90.75%
Commodities & Resources 0.27% -0.88% -2.58% 0.40% 331 62.97%
Retail 0.28% 0.70% 1.47% 1.64% 429 4.09%
Infrastructure 0.28% -3.83% -0.27% 7.62% 4 61.90%
Utilities 0.33% -3.57% -0.87% 0.84% 510 73.28%
Asia 0.38% -1.11% 1.59% 1.10% 27 85.95%
Convertible 0.54% 0.44% 0.38% 0.28% 16 39.19%
Mid Cap 0.59% -0.30% 3.22% 0.46% 673 92.44%
Biotech 0.59% 0.38% -2.10% 0.48% 66 75.52%
Small Cap 0.91% 0.59% 3.10% 0.20% 5438 75.35%
Transports 0.92% 0.16% 3.34% 12.16% 45 98.75%
Japan 1.05% 1.28% 0.97% 0.18% 211 62.87%
Call/Write 1.12% 1.63% 1.59% 1.81% 4 87.00%
Real Estate 3.04% 2.34% -2.34% 0.01% 709 80.10%

ETF Market Summary: Wednesday, May 16th 2007

    Among today's worst losers was real estate, as the new housing data hit the market this morning.  Of the worst 10 funds on the day's performance, 4 of 10 were real estate - FIO is the iShares FTSE Industrial/Office Park REIT introduced recently, URE is the ProShares REIT, RLF is a Cohen & Steers real estate fund, and DCA is the Dividend Capital Realty fund.  

    Notable also was the drop in silver futures today, as evidenced in the fall of DBS and SLV, silver ETFs.  Commodities and natural resources on the whole were down nearly 2% by my dollar-weighted calculations above.

    On the other end, the top fund for the day was CLM, the Cornerstone Strategic Value CEF.  Though closed, in 2005, they claimed their top ten holdings included Citigroup and American Internation Group, both enjoying the latest week of earnings and purchases. 

    Following CLM were mainly Latin American (Brazil's and Mexico's MSCIs EWZ and EWW, the Latin America 40 ILF, Spain Fund SNF, Brazil Telecom ADR TBH) and other foreign funds (Thai Fund TH).  As noted above, today's best performing category was Latin America, trading at another percent-and-a-quarter to China.  Expect the Mexican MSCI fund to be highly correlated to the US markets, however, as much of the rally today was on speculation of rate drop and a soft real estate impact.

    Below you'll find both the full table of the best and worst performers, as well as a list of ETFs and CEFs that traded at least 300% above their 5-session average dollar liquidity today.

Dollar-Weighted ETF/CEF Category Return

Sector Day Week Month YTD Dollar Volume (Mil. USD) Week Correlation to SPY
Short -1.81% 0.87% -5.40% -1.42% 51 -88.98%
Commodities & Resources -1.47% -2.79% -4.43% 0.44% 39 56.34%
Real Estate -0.98% -2.98% -3.60% 0.00% 22 NaN
Currency -0.35% -0.09% -0.31% 0.44% 3 26.60%
Asia -0.01% -0.51% 0.49% 1.22% 3 78.95%
Call/Write 0.14% -1.01% -0.90% 1.32% 1 11.73%
Convertible 0.17% -0.49% 0.78% 0.30% 2 42.29%
Japan 0.20% -1.66% -1.67% 0.17% 22 89.22%
Utilities 0.27% 0.63% 3.05% 1.10% 12 67.98%
Energy 0.37% 1.35% 4.48% 0.97% 63 68.83%
Mid Cap 0.39% -0.71% 1.97% 0.46% 26 84.38%
Small Cap 0.40% -1.27% 0.80% 0.29% 3 74.34%
Europe 0.45% -0.25% 0.80% 0.53% 3 87.22%
Infrastructure 0.57% 0.91% 3.46% 9.10% 1 74.91%
Retail 0.59% -1.75% -0.88% 1.07% 132 87.16%
Dividend 0.59% 0.30% 2.04% 0.71% 4 79.57%
Consumer Goods & Services 0.63% -0.19% 0.11% 0.25% 4 71.33%
Large Cap 0.80% 0.17% 2.55% 0.64% 1 91.06%
Biotech 0.89% -2.64% -0.52% 0.40% 20 94.27%
Healthcare 1.10% -0.55% 1.84% 1.03% 11 75.20%
Russia 1.42% -1.63% -5.68% -7.37% 4 88.32%
Emerging Markets 1.46% 0.62% 3.25% 0.77% 46 64.59%
MSCI 1.71% 0.61% 3.15% 0.46% 112 91.31%
Transports 1.91% 0.10% 1.38% 12.42% 192 83.69%
China 2.07% 4.15% 4.78% -0.03% 42 85.88%
Latin America 3.28% 1.93% 7.37% 6.76% 16 94.75%