Market Uncertain Going Into Afternoon Trading
The VIX is making higher lows as the week goes on and is presently at a crossroads as its bands and moving averages converge. I'm looking for the afternoon trend to be established between 1 and 1:30 EST, and in the event that the VIX breaks lower, I am relatively confident that we should see the market returning to a more comfortable level of action through the rest of the week.

Note again that there seems to be good opportunity to arbitrage on the market uncertainty, even if one only plays inverse volatility spreads across indexes.

I'm watching the $1505 SPX puts for possible strong market move signals. If ask breaks the intraday high (> $10.50) or bid hits an intraday low (< $7.30), look for the market to return to unchanged or break above 1% into close respectively.
- Michael J Bommarito II's blog
- Add new comment
- 874 reads
Hi Michael-
Can you tell me what a "inverse volatility spread" is?
I searched google, and based on my research, you're the first person in human history to use that expression.
Thanks,
Les
Ps To be fair, I didn't check Yahoo...
Hello Les, What I meant
Hello Les,
What I meant by "inverse volatility spread" was, for example, to net sell a volatility spread on the IWM and to net purchase a volatility spread on the SPY for equal amounts, making the probabilistic risk-free profit.
Gotcha. I'm a big fan of Volatility Arbitrage. Now...
...Does your thesis conversely suggest the opposite if the Vix was turning upward -
Short a V-spread on the SPY and go Long on the IWM?
Take care,
Les